ТОРГОВЛЯ ИНДЕКСОМ РТС c 2001 по 2009 гг. ч.2

20 января, 2009

(продолжение результаты торговли )

Monthly Trading Summary                                                                             

Monthly Average Analysis (Mark-To-Market):                                                  

Period

Net Profit

% к капиталу

Profit Factor

# Trades

% Profitable

January

$1 580.53

16%

3.82 

31.00

48.39%

February

$1 336.50

13%

3.57 

31.63

50.59%

March

$2 025.84

20%

5.24 

33.13

49.81%

April

$1 428.66

14%

3.17 

34.88

51.97%

May

$1 888.54

19%

3.87 

34.63

47.29%

June

$1 889.59

19%

3.95 

34.13

49.08%

July

$2 041.42

20%

4.18 

34.38

54.18%

August

$1 943.42

19%

4.45 

33.50

49.63%

September

$2 028.31

20%

3.80 

35.63

49.47%

October

$2 798.25

28%

3.61 

38.88

52.09%

November

$2 621.53

26%

5.10 

33.63

49.81%

December

$1 763.94

18%

4.30 

33.38

49.06%

Monthly Period Analysis (Mark-To-Market):                                                    

Period

Net Profit

% к капиталу

Profit Factor

# Trades

% Profitable

12.08

$5 387.98

54%

8.53 

43

55.81%

11.08

$9 726.30

97%

7.68 

39

53.85%

10.08

$10 623.61

106%

4.66 

45

51.11%

9.08

$6 713.45

67%

4.83 

45

48.89%

8.08

$2 997.26

30%

3.46 

51

39.22%

7.08

$1 524.54

15%

2.32 

61

40.98%

6.08

$686.52

7%

1.80 

55

45.45%

5.08

$547.60

5%

1.38 

65

29.23%

4.08

$463.84

5%

1.56 

53

39.62%

3.08

$1 001.25

10%

2.04 

53

45.28%

2.08

$2 207.46

22%

4.94 

46

50.00%

1.08

$1 791.69

18%

2.68 

44

43.18%

12.07

$740.92

7%

2.31 

51

41.18%

11.07

$1 166.80

12%

3.00 

48

41.67%

10.07

$1 239.72

12%

3.65 

51

56.86%

9.07

$1 260.55

13%

8.28 

30

63.33%

8.07

$2 121.00

21%

4.88 

35

60.00%

7.07

$1 684.57

17%

6.00 

33

60.61%

6.07

$982.50

10%

3.18 

43

51.16%

5.07

$1 207.75

12%

3.34 

39

53.85%

4.07

$1 116.55

11%

3.72 

41

53.66%

3.07

$1 767.55

18%

3.92 

39

41.03%

2.07

$1 365.55

14%

3.21 

30

46.67%

1.07

$1 361.70

14%

2.69 

34

52.94%

12.06

$703.40

7%

2.56 

41

43.90%

11.06

$1 193.96

12%

6.94 

33

48.48%

10.06

$1 368.68

14%

3.52 

44

52.27%

9.06

$1 868.92

19%

5.79 

39

51.28%

8.06

$1 723.48

17%

6.26 

39

56.41%

7.06

$1 885.88

19%

5.83 

38

57.89%

6.06

$4 600.86

46%

6.08 

41

53.66%

5.06

$4 290.20

43%

6.62 

37

59.46%

4.06

$2 134.98

21%

14.54 

26

73.08%

3.06

$2 352.38

24%

5.18 

45

48.89%

2.06

$2 032.70

20%

5.71 

41

58.54%

1.06

$2 569.64

26%

8.08 

26

61.54%

12.05

$1 076.17

11%

5.52 

31

51.61%

11.05

$1 523.85

15%

6.09 

37

48.65%

10.05

$2 784.19

28%

4.34 

41

48.78%

9.05

$2 345.11

23%

5.84 

45

53.33%

8.05

$1 632.61

16%

5.02 

40

45.00%

7.05

$1 394.42

14%

5.82 

30

60.00%

6.05

$282.46

3%

1.63 

33

42.42%

5.05

$885.58

9%

3.40 

35

37.14%

4.05

$1 074.10

11%

2.93 

36

50.00%

3.05

$1 468.76

15%

4.62 

34

50.00%

2.05

$817.49

8%

2.86 

36

44.44%

1.05

$842.03

8%

3.34 

28

39.29%

12.04

$3 047.76

30%

7.88 

28

60.71%

11.04

$1 404.60

14%

6.21 

26

65.38%

10.04

$1 606.31

16%

3.64 

30

53.33%

9.04

$534.29

5%

2.35 

28

50.00%

8.04

$1 545.40

15%

4.59 

27

51.85%

7.04

$1 662.65

17%

3.04 

28

50.00%

6.04

$2 411.90

24%

3.14 

28

50.00%

5.04

$2 089.05

21%

3.92 

27

51.85%

4.04

$1 514.14

15%

2.60 

33

48.48%

3.04

$2 285.64

23%

9.35 

25

60.00%

2.04

$679.74

7%

2.12 

30

46.67%

1.04

$1 295.30

13%

4.26 

30

43.33%

12.03

$712.18

7%

1.81 

27

44.44%

11.03

$2 395.39

24%

3.54 

26

50.00%

10.03

$2 370.07

24%

2.53 

33

54.55%

9.03

$1 013.84

10%

2.42 

38

44.74%

8.03

$863.84

9%

2.13 

29

34.48%

7.03

$2 731.93

27%

5.70 

29

62.07%

6.03

$1 866.07

19%

7.70 

26

53.85%

5.03

$1 821.58

18%

6.89 

28

53.57%

4.03

$1 274.07

13%

2.46 

31

54.84%

3.03

$1 195.73

12%

4.37 

27

48.15%

2.03

$548.64

5%

1.96 

30

46.67%

1.03

$494.10

5%

1.76 

32

43.75%

12.02

$696.64

7%

2.57 

23

52.17%

11.02

$151.90

2%

1.18 

35

40.00%

10.02

$948.33

9%

2.07 

36

47.22%

9.02

$686.47

7%

1.73 

31

45.16%

8.02

$2 194.98

22%

4.05 

29

48.28%

7.02

$2 782.02

28%

3.46 

34

47.06%

6.02

$2 791.25

28%

9.39 

21

57.14%

5.02

$3 065.99

31%

16.36 

21

61.90%

4.02

$2 298.90

23%

7.46 

31

58.06%

3.02

$3 293.56

33%

13.94 

19

52.63%

2.02

$1 328.60

13%

2.69 

27

51.85%

1.02

$2 709.23

27%

10.71 

23

60.87%

12.01

$1 746.49

17%

4.25 

23

47.83%

11.01

$3 409.41

34%

7.79 

25

60.00%

10.01

$1 445.12

14%

2.83 

31

51.61%

9.01

$1 803.87

18%

2.89 

29

37.93%

8.01

$2 468.75

25%

27.31 

18

77.78%

7.01

$2 665.36

27%

7.04 

22

72.73%

6.01

$1 495.16

15%

3.08 

26

42.31%

5.01

$1 200.54

12%

2.26 

25

56.00%

4.01

$1 552.70

16%

2.36 

28

50.00%

3.01

$2 841.83

28%

8.07 

23

65.22%

2.01

$1 711.80

17%

12.88 

13

69.23%

    Monthly Rolling Period Analysis (Mark-To-Market):                                        

<td style=»borde

Period

Net Profit

% к капиталу

Profit Factor

# Trades

% Profitable

12.08

$5 387.98

54%

8.53 

43

55.81%

11.08-12.08

$15 114.28

151%

7.96 

82

54.88%

10.08-12.08

$25 737.89

257%

6.07 

127

53.54%

9.08-12.08

$32 451.34

325%

5.76 

172

52.33%

8.08-12.08

$35 448.60

354%

5.41 

223

49.33%

7.08-12.08

$36 973.14

370%

5.02 

284

47.54%

6.08-12.08

$37 659.66

377%

4.74 

339

47.20%

5.08-12.08

$38 207.26

382%

4.32 

404

44.31%

4.08-12.08

$38 671.10

387%

4.14 

457

43.76%

3.08-12.08

$39 672.35

397%

3.99 

510

43.92%

2.08-12.08

$41 879.81

419%

4.03 

556

44.42%

1.08-12.08

$43 671.50

437%

3.93 

600

44.33%

12.07-12.08

$44 412.42

444%

3.87 

651

44.09%

11.07-12.08

$45 579.22

456%

3.84 

699

43.92%

10.07-12.08

$46 818.94

468%

3.83 

750

44.80%

9.07-12.08

$48 079.49

481%

3.88 

780

45.51%

8.07-12.08

$50 200.49

502%

3.91 

815

46.13%

7.07-12.08

$51 885.06

519%

3.95 

848

46.70%

6.07-12.08

$52 867.56

529%

3.93 

891

46.91%

5.07-12.08

$54 075.31

541%

3.92 

930

47.20%

4.07-12.08

$55 191.86

552%

3.91 

971

47.48%

3.07-12.08

$56 959.41

570%

3.91 

1010

47.23%

2.07-12.08

$58 324.96

583%

3.89 

1040

47.21%

1.07-12.08

$59 686.66

597%

3.84 

1074

47.39%

12.06-12.08

$60 390.06

604%

3.82 

1115

47.26%

11.06-12.08

$61 584.02

616%

3.85 

1148

47.30%

10.06-12.08

$62 952.70

630%

3.84 

1192

47.48%

9.06-12.08

$64 821.62

648%

3.87 

1231

47.60%

8.06-12.08

$66 545.10

665%

3.91 

1270

47.87%

7.06-12.08

$68 430.98

684%

3.94 

1308

48.17%

6.06-12.08

$73 031.84

730%

4.02 

1349

48.33%

5.06-12.08

$77 322.04

773%

4.10 

1386

48.63%

4.06-12.08

$79 457.02

795%

4.16 

1412

49.08%

3.06-12.08

$81 809.40

818%

4.19 

1457

49.07%

2.06-12.08

$83 842.10

838%

4.21 

1498

49.33%

1.06-12.08

$86 411.74

864%

4.26 

1524

49.54%

12.05-12.08

$87 487.91

875%

4.27 

1555

49.58%

11.05-12.08

$89 011.76

890%

4.29 

1592

49.56%

10.05-12.08

$91 795.96

918%

4.30 

1633

49.54%

9.05-12.08

$94 141.07

941%

4.32 

1678

49.64%

8.05-12.08

$95 773.68

958%

4.33 

1718

49.53%

7.05-12.08

$97 168.10

972%

4.35 

1748

49.71%

6.05-12.08

$97 450.56

975%

4.31 

1781

49.58%

5.05-12.08

$98 336.14

983%

4.29 

1816

49.34%

4.05-12.08

$99 410.24

994%

4.27 

1852

49.35%

3.05-12.08

$100 879.00

1009%

4.27 

1886

49.36%

2.05-12.08

$101 696.49

1017%

4.25 

1922

49.27%

1.05-12.08

$102 538.52

1025%

4.24 

1950

49.13%

12.04-12.08

$105 586.28

1056%

4.29 

1978

49.29%

11.04-12.08

$106 990.88

1070%

4.31 

2004

49.50%

10.04-12.08

$108 597.19

1086%

4.30 

2034

49.56%

9.04-12.08

$109 131.48

1091%

4.28 

2062

49.56%

8.04-12.08

$110 676.88

1107%

4.28 

2089

49.59%

7.04-12.08

$112 339.53

1123%

ТОРГОВЛЯ ИНДЕКСОМ РТС c 2001 по 2009 гг. ч.1

20 января, 2009

Автор: Николай Камынин

Далее представлены результаты автоматической торговли фьючерсом на индекс РТС ( RTSI )  на фондовой бирже .

         Полученная прибыль ( доходность )составляет в 2001 г  223%, 2002 г  229%, 2003 г   173%, 2004 г.  201%, 2005 г.  161%, 2006 г  267%, 2007 г  160% и 2008 г  437%

            При этом , так как торговля индексом возможна на фьючерсах, то система является реверсивной. За 8 лет торговли получена прибыль в размере 1852% от начального капитала в размере 10000$. При этом , сумма инвестируемого капитала всегда равна начальной, полученная по сделке прибыль изымается, а возникающие убытки компенсируются из ранее полученной прибыли. 

Реализован следующий алгоритм : 

      if MarketPosition <=0  then   Buy next bar at Rz(0)+20 Point          Stop;

      if MarketPosition >0  then     Sell next bar at Su(0)-20 point           Stop;

 где Rz(0) , Su(0) – текущие уровни сопротивления и поддержки соответственно;

Уровни сопротивления и поддержки формируются специальной программой на Си. 

Фрагмент формирования уровней : 

      long w=Ib(ODBar(1)),bblack=BlackBar(0),bwhite=WhiteBar(0);

             SetRS(0);     FindRS();

//———-

             if (O(1)>C(1) && ShHigh(1)==0 && ShLow(1)==0 && Body(1)>0 && Close>Open && ShHigh(0)==0 ) {br=CurrentBar;r=h(br);}

             if (C(1)>O(1) && ShHigh(1)==0 && Body(1)>0 && H(1)>=Open ) {bs=CurrentBar;s=l(bs);}

     if (BlackBar(1)>1 && H(1)>High && Low>L(1) && R_DO(0) && r>High ) {br=CurrentBar;r=h(br);}

    if (BlackBar(1)>5 && Close>Open && r>High ) {br=CurrentBar;r=h(br);}

 

             if (Ib(bs)>1 && Low>s && H(1)>=High && Low>=L(1) && L(1)>=L(2)) {bs=CurrentBar;s=l(bs);}

             if (Ib(br)>1 && r>High && H(2)>=H(1) && H(1)>=High && Low>=L(1) && L(1)>=L(2)) {br=CurrentBar;r=h(br);}

 Результаты работы системы следующие:

TradeStation Strategy Performance Report 

              Annual Trading Summary      Annual Analysis (Mark-To-Market): 

Period

Net Profit

% к капиталу

Profit Factor

# Trades

% Profitable

YTD

$0.00

N/A

N/A

0

N/A

12 month

$41 879.81

419%

4.03 

556

44.42%

08

$43 671.50

437%

3.96 

589

44.48%

07

$16 015.16

160%

3.74 

463

51.40%

06

$26 725.08

267%

5.98 

439

55.35%

05

$16 126.77

161%

4.18 

415

47.47%

04

$20 076.78

201%

3.92 

329

51.98%

03

$17 287.44

173%

3.11 

345

48.99%

02

$22 947.87

229%

4.32 

319

51.41%

01

$22 341.03

223%

4.54 

253

54.94%

Annual Rolling Period Analysis (Mark-To-Market): 

Period

Net Profit

% к капиталу

Profit Factor

# Trades

% Profitable

08

$43 671.50

437%

3.96 

589

44.48%

07-08

$59 686.66

597%

3.90 

1052

47.53%

06-08

$86 411.74

864%

4.33 

1491

49.83%

05-08

$102 538.52

1025%

4.31 

1906

49.32%

04-08

$122 615.30

1226%

4.24 

2235

49.71%

03-08

$139 902.74

1399%

4.04 

2580

49.61%

02-08

$162 850.61

1629%

4.07 

2899

49.81%

01-08

$185 191.64

1852%

4.12 

3152

50.22%

 

Долее приведены более подробно результаты работы системы:

TradeStation Strategy Performance Report — ANK_2009_1 RTSI-60 min.

Performance Summary:  All Trades

Total Net Profit

$185 173.71

Open position P/L

$17.92

Gross Profit

 

$244 310.22

Gross Loss

 

($59 136.50)

Total # of trades

3 144 

Percent profitable

50.16%

Number winning trades

1 577 

Number losing trades

1 567 

Largest winning trade

$2 492.00

Largest losing trade

($850.00)

Average winning trade

$154.92

Average losing trade

($37.74)

Ratio avg win/avg loss

4.11

Avg trade (win & loss)

$58.90

Max consec. Winners

11 

Max consec. losers

13 

Avg # bars in winners

9 

Avg # bars in losers

3 

Max intraday drawdown

($889.76)

 

 

 

Profit Factor

 

4.13

Max # contracts held

62 

Account size required

$889.76

Return on account

20811.65%

Performance Summary:  Long Trades

Total Net Profit

$101 849.10

Open position P/L

$17.92

Gross Profit

 

$132 469.13

Gross Loss

 

($30 620.03)

Total # of trades

1 572 

Percent profitable

52.16%

Number winning trades

820 

Number losing trades

752 

Largest winning trade

$2 300.12

Largest losing trade

($850.00)

Average winning trade

$161.55

Average losing trade

($40.72)

Ratio avg win/avg loss

3.97

Avg trade (win & loss)

$64.79

Max consec. Winners

13 

Max consec. losers

9 

Avg # bars in winners

10 

Avg # bars in losers

3 

Max intraday drawdown

($1 048.22)

 

 

 

Profit Factor

 

4.33

Max # contracts held

62 

Account size required

$1 048.22

Return on account

9716.41%

Performance Summary:  Short Trades 

Total Net Profit

$83 324.51

Open position P/L

$0.00

Gross Profit

 

$111 841.09

Gross Loss

 

($28 516.59)

Total # of trades

1 572 

Percent profitable

48.16%

Number winning trades

757 

Number losing trades

815 

Largest winning trade

$2 492.00

Largest losing trade

($670.62)

Average winning trade

$147.74

Average losing trade

($34.99)

Ratio avg win/avg loss

4.22

Avg trade (win & loss)

$53.01

Max consec. Winners

7 

Max consec. losers

20 

Avg # bars in winners

7 

Avg # bars in losers

3 

Max intraday drawdown

($1 196.61)

 

 

 

Profit Factor

 

3.92

Max # contracts held

61 

Account size required

$1 196.61

Return on account

6963.40%